Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart Prediction: Hosts Favoured in a High-Scoring Bundesliga Clash
Bayer Leverkusen welcome Stuttgart to the BayArena on Saturday with the teams separated by seven points after the opening seven rounds of the Bundesliga season. Leverkusen sit fourth with 13 points, while Stuttgart are 15th on six and remain outside the relegation places only on goal difference.
The league table gives the visitors little room for comfort, but the matchup offers more than a straightforward home-win angle. Stuttgart have shown they can create chances despite their poor results, while their defensive numbers point to vulnerabilities Leverkusen may be well placed to exploit. Our football prediction is a Leverkusen victory in a game where both sides find the net.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart best bets
- Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score at 2.70 with 1xBet
- Bayer Leverkusen -1, three-way handicap at 2.62 with 1xBet
- Ibrahim Maza to score or assist at 1.85 with 1xBet
Correct-score prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Stuttgart
Goalscorer picks: Patrik Schick, Ibrahim Maza and Malik Tillman for Leverkusen; Ermedin Demirovic for Stuttgart.
Leverkusen seek a response at the BayArena
Leverkusen’s position in the top four reflects a strong start, particularly on home turf. They have won all three of their league matches at the BayArena, scoring eight goals and conceding just once. Convincing victories over Union Berlin and RB Leipzig underline the attacking threat Carles Martinez’s side can pose when playing in front of their own supporters.
There is, however, a recent warning sign. Leverkusen suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Hoffenheim on Sunday, a result that interrupted their momentum and exposed some of the risks in their approach. They also face a DFB-Pokal tie against Nurnberg on Wednesday, so fitness and squad rotation could be worth monitoring before kickoff.
Patrik Schick remains the focal point of the attack. With six Bundesliga goals, he has been Leverkusen’s most reliable finisher and is rated by FotMob as the team’s leading performer, with a score of 7.79. If the hosts can supply him consistently, Stuttgart’s struggling back line could be in for a difficult afternoon.
Stuttgart’s league position masks attacking potential
Sebastian Hoeness’s side arrive under pressure after losing five of their first seven league games. Stuttgart have yet to draw this season, and their latest setback was especially damaging: a 3-2 home defeat to Borussia Monchengladbach, who had lost six consecutive matches before visiting.
Hoeness said after that result that complacency had begun to affect his players. The concern is compounded by Stuttgart’s away record: they have collected only three points from four trips and scored four goals on the road. They will need a more disciplined performance at the BayArena if they are to avoid another damaging loss.
Still, the visitors’ attacking statistics suggest they should not be dismissed as a goal threat. Stuttgart rank seventh in the Bundesliga expected-goals standings with an xG of 13.9, despite their low league position. They are also second for big chances missed, with 22. That gap between opportunity creation and conversion helps explain why their points total is so modest—and why a breakthrough against Leverkusen remains plausible.
The bigger concern is at the other end. Stuttgart have the league’s second-highest expected goals conceded figure, at 17.5, indicating that opponents have regularly found ways to create quality chances. Leverkusen’s home scoring record makes that a worrying trend for Hoeness.
Why both teams to score is worth considering
Eight of the last nine meetings between these clubs have featured goals from both teams. That history is not a guarantee, but it fits the current matchup: Leverkusen are productive at home, while Stuttgart’s underlying attacking numbers suggest they can generate chances even when results are poor.
Leverkusen’s defensive record at the BayArena is a counterargument, with just one goal conceded across their three home league wins. But Stuttgart’s ability to create big chances could test that record, particularly if the hosts commit players forward. The best-value approach may therefore be to back Leverkusen to win while allowing for a Stuttgart goal. At odds of 2.70, the combination offers a more attractive return than a simple home-win selection.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score at 2.70 with 1xBet.
Leverkusen can cover the handicap
There is also a case for backing the hosts to win by a margin. Leverkusen have taken maximum points from their three home league fixtures, including a 4-0 success against Union Berlin and a 2-0 victory over RB Leipzig. Their eight goals scored and one conceded at the BayArena show how effectively they have controlled matches on home soil.
Stuttgart’s away return is far less convincing. They have managed only three points from four road games and scored four times, while their defensive performance has been inconsistent. Even bottom-placed Gladbach scored three against them last week. If Leverkusen reproduce their best home form, a multi-goal victory is within reach.
The three-way handicap bet on Leverkusen -1 requires the hosts to win by at least two goals for the selection to land. At 2.62, it offers a strong alternative for bettors expecting Leverkusen to turn their home advantage into a decisive result.
Ibrahim Maza could make the difference
Ibrahim Maza is another player to watch. The Leverkusen attacker has scored twice and registered four goal contributions in the 2026/27 Bundesliga campaign. His FotMob rating of 7.44 places him among the club’s strongest performers, behind Schick and Aleix Garcia.
Maza’s creative output is particularly notable. He leads Leverkusen with 17 chances created and has an expected-assists figure of 2.9. His combined expected goals and expected assists amount to 0.76 per 90 minutes, a useful indicator of how frequently he is involved in promising attacking situations.
With Christian Kofane sidelined by a thigh injury, Maza is in line for a prominent role. Martin Terrier and Moussa Diaby are also unavailable, which could increase the importance of his contribution. The price of 1.85 for Maza to score or assist is worth considering given his involvement in Leverkusen’s attack.
Probable lineups
Bayer Leverkusen: Flekken; Gutierrez, Tapsoba, Quansah, Medina; Fernandez, Garcia; Tella, Maza, Tillman; Schick.
Stuttgart: Seimen; Assignon, Mittelstadt, Hendriks, Jeltsch; Stiller, Karazor; Leweling, Fuhrich; Undav, Demirovic.
Final Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart prediction
Stuttgart’s chance creation gives them a credible route to a goal, but their defensive record and poor away form make it difficult to trust them to take points from the BayArena. Leverkusen have the stronger home record, more reliable finishing and a proven scorer in Schick. We expect the hosts to win an entertaining contest, with Maza among the players capable of shaping the outcome.
Best football prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score. Correct-score pick: 3-1.
