Trent Alexander-Arnold Transfer Prediction: Could Real Madrid Exit Lead to a Liverpool Return?
Trent Alexander-Arnold’s move from Liverpool to Real Madrid was meant to mark the beginning of a new chapter at one of football’s most decorated clubs. Instead, injuries, inconsistent performances and limited playing time have prompted fresh questions about his long-term future in Spain. Former Liverpool striker Stan Collymore believes a return to Anfield cannot be ruled out—and suggests Bayern Munich could also offer the England international an appealing alternative.
Alexander-Arnold left his boyhood club in 2025, a decision that angered some Liverpool supporters who had hoped he would remain a central figure in the team. His contract with Madrid runs until 2031, but a lengthy deal does not necessarily guarantee a settled role. If his current difficulties continue, speculation over a potential transfer could intensify.
Collymore Predicts Liverpool Could Welcome Their Former Star Back
Speaking to Greek betting site Betarades, Collymore said Liverpool fans might be more open to a reunion than the reaction to Alexander-Arnold’s departure initially suggested. In his view, supporters can be forgiving when a player demonstrates commitment and delivers on the pitch.
Collymore argued that Alexander-Arnold could explain his decision by admitting he underestimated the challenge of moving from Liverpool to Madrid. A sincere message, followed by performances that help the team, could go a long way towards rebuilding the relationship. The former England international also pointed to the right-back’s ability to create chances with long-range passing—an asset that could still make him valuable at Anfield.
The footballing case for a return is easy to understand. Alexander-Arnold made 354 competitive appearances for Liverpool and became known for his range of passing, set-piece delivery and ability to influence attacks from deep. A familiar environment could help him regain confidence, while Liverpool would be bringing back a player who understands the club’s culture and has already performed at the highest level for the team.
However, any potential reunion would involve more than sentiment. Liverpool would need to assess the cost of a transfer, the player’s wages and how he fits into the club’s current tactical plans. Real Madrid would also have to decide whether to negotiate, particularly with Alexander-Arnold under contract for several more years.
Why Alexander-Arnold’s Real Madrid Future Is Under Scrutiny
The right-back’s first season in Spain has been disrupted by injuries and uneven form. He has yet to establish himself as an automatic starter under new coach Jose Mourinho, who has other options on the right side of defence. New signing Denzel Dumfries has been used in the position, while midfielder Federico Valverde has also been deployed there.
Alexander-Arnold’s lack of minutes has become particularly noticeable when he has remained on the bench for full matches. He was an unused substitute in Madrid’s 4-1 Champions League victory over RB Leipzig and also did not feature in a 4-1 LaLiga win against Sevilla. The Liverpool Echo described the latest omission as another humiliation for the former Reds player, reflecting the growing attention around his place in the squad.
Across all competitions this season, Alexander-Arnold has made six appearances for Real Madrid and recorded one assist. Those figures do not tell the whole story, especially given his injury problems, but they are modest compared with the expectations attached to a high-profile move. For a player who joined Madrid hoping to compete for major honours and play a leading role, a regular place remains an important measure of success.
That does not mean an exit is imminent. Madrid may believe he needs more time to adapt, and competition for places is a normal feature of a squad pursuing trophies on several fronts. Still, if the pattern of limited opportunities continues, the player and club may eventually have to consider whether a different setting would better serve his career.
Bayern Munich Also Mentioned as a Possible Destination
Collymore also identified Bayern Munich as a club that could suit Alexander-Arnold. He compared the possibility with Harry Kane’s move to Germany, suggesting the England international could thrive in a side built around attacking football. From right-back, Alexander-Arnold’s passing could help supply forwards such as Michael Olise, Luis Díaz and Kane.
There are, however, practical obstacles to a Bayern transfer. The German champions have been linked with right-back Givairo Read of Feyenoord, who has reportedly returned to the club’s recruitment discussions. Bayern also have established options in Konrad Laimer and Josip Stanisic. Nathaniel Brown could provide cover on the right if required, while the club is expected to explore a possible winter sale for Sacha Boey.
Finances may be another complication. Alexander-Arnold’s estimated market value is around €60 million, and his long contract gives Real Madrid considerable leverage in any negotiations. Bayern would need to decide whether a major transfer fee and salary package made sense alongside their existing squad options. A move could become more realistic if Madrid were willing to negotiate or if the player’s role remained limited, but neither outcome is guaranteed.
England Return Offers a Positive Sign
Despite his club-level challenges, Alexander-Arnold has remained in the international picture. After England manager Thomas Tuchel left him out of the World Cup squad, the defender returned during the latest international break and started both Nations League matches against Czechia. England won 2-0 away and 3-0 at home, with Alexander-Arnold earning his 35th and 36th caps.
His international involvement is a reminder that his technical quality remains valued, even as his club situation attracts scrutiny. Regular football at Real would give him the best opportunity to strengthen his England case, but a transfer to a team that offers a clearer role could also help him maintain momentum.
Transfer Prediction: No Immediate Exit, but the Situation Bears Watching
For now, Alexander-Arnold’s future remains uncertain rather than settled. A Liverpool return would carry emotional appeal and offer a familiar route back to regular football, while Bayern could present a compelling tactical fit if the club’s recruitment plans change. Yet his long Madrid contract, the potential transfer cost and the competition for right-back places at both destinations make either move complicated.
The most important factor will be whether Alexander-Arnold can earn consistent minutes under Mourinho. If he does, talk of a transfer may fade as he adapts to life in Spain. If he continues to watch from the bench, the prediction of a future move—whether back to Liverpool or to Bayern Munich—will become harder to dismiss.
